Prediction of morbidity and mortality after early cholecystectomy for acute calculous cholecystitis: results of the S.P.Ri.M.A.C.C. study

Table 4 Areas under the curves for in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality, in-hospital major morbidity, 30-day major morbidity in patients with acute calculous cholecystitis after early cholecystectomy

Outcome	Risk prediction models	AUC	Std. Error	p value	95% Confidence interval
Outcome	Risk prediction models	AUC	Std. Error	p value	Lower bound	Upper bound
In-hospital mortality	POSSUM physiological score	0.944	0.023	< 0.001	0.898	0.989
	ACC grade	0.772	0.076	0.005	0.624	0.920
	Charlson Comorbidity Index	0.940	0.027	< 0.001	0.887	0.993
	ASA	0.946	0.026	< 0.001	0.894	0.998
	Chole-risk	0.815	0.077	0.001	0.663	0.967
	m-Frailty	0.870	0.078	< 0.001	0.716	1.000
	APACHEII	0.942	0.023	< 0.001	0.897	0.986
30-day mortality	POSSUM physiological score	0.941	0.021	< 0.001	0.899	0.982
	ACC grade	0.762	0.071	0.004	0.622	0.902
	Charlson Comorbidity Index	0.922	0.030	< 0.001	0.862	0.981
	ASA	0.934	0.028	< 0.001	0.879	0.989
	Chole-risk	0.811	0.070	0.001	0.673	0.948
	m-Frailty	0.808	0.093	0.001	0.625	0.991
	APACHEII	0.900	0.045	< 0.001	0.813	0.988
In-hospital major morbidity	POSSUM physiological score	0.731	.035	< 0.001	0.662	0.800
	ACC grade	0.589	0.039	0.026	0.514	0.665
	Charlson Comorbidity Index	0.694	0.038	< 0.001	0.619	0.769
	ASA	0.724	0.037	< 0.001	0.651	0.798
	Chole-risk	0.638	0.041	0.001	0.557	0.719
	m-Frailty	0.699	0.039	< 0.001	0.623	0.775
	APACHEII	0.749	0.035	< 0.001	0.681	0.817
30-day major morbidity	POSSUM physiological score	0.703	0.034	< 0.001	0.637	0.770
	ACC grade	0.584	0.035	0.023	0.515	0.653
	Charlson Comorbidity Index	0.670	0.036	< 0.001	0.600	0.741
	ASA	0.710	0.034	< 0.001	0.644	0.777
	Chole-risk	0.638	0.037	< 0.001	0.564	0.711
	m-Frailty	0.671	0.036	< 0.001	0.600	0.742
	APACHEII	0.735	0.031	< 0.001	0.674	0.796

ISSN: 1749-7922