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Table 3 Predictive capabilities of potential COOL study sepsis and critical illness scoring systems using Helsinki outcomes data

From: Getting the invite list right: a discussion of sepsis severity scoring systems in severe complicated intra-abdominal sepsis and randomized trial inclusion criteria

System

Identified

Outcome mortality

Sensitivity (%)

Specificity (%)

AUCb

95% CI

qSOFA ≥ 2

34 (36.6%)

13 (32%)

37

95

0.723

[0.653–0.792]

SOFA ≥ 2

72 (77.4%)

25 (27%)

77

83

0.825

[0.766–0.885]

SOFA ≥ 3

70 (75.3%)

24 (27%)

75

85

  

SOFA ≥ 4

60 (64.5%)

20 (28%)

65

91

  

Septic shocka

36 (38.7%)

15 (37%)

39

96

0.82

[0.761–0.88]

MPI ≥ 30

48 (51.6%)

21 (28%)

51

79

0.774

[0.713–0.835]

MPI ≥ 32

42 (45.2%)

18 (32%)

45

89

  

MPI ≥ 34

22 (23.7%)

9 (33%)

24

96

  

APACHE II ≥ 14

64 (68.8%)

24 (26%)

69

78

0.828

[0.775–0.881]

APACHE II ≥ 16

52 (55.9%)

20 (30%)

56

89

  

APACHE II ≥ 18

42 (45.2%)

19 (39%)

45

95

  

WSESSSS ≥ 8

68 (73.1%)

27 (27%)

73

76

0.809

[0.752–0.866]

WSESSSS ≥ 9

58 (62.4%)

24 (29%)

62

82

  

WSESSSS ≥ 10

47 (50.5%)

20 (32%)

51

88

  

CPIRO ≥ 3

54 (58.1%)

21 (31%)

58

90

0.856

[0.806–0.905]

CPIRO ≥ 4

28 (30.1%)

13 (42%)

30

98

  
  1. Ninety-three patients were selected out of the database based on 30-day mortality or ICU admission
  2. aAUC is for sepsis classification according to Sepsis-3 consensus definitions
  3. bOnly one area under the curve (AUC) was calculated for each scoring system without thresholds within