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Table 1 Differences between survivors and non-survivors in pre-treatment and post-treatment variables

From: Mortality risk estimation in acute calculous cholecystitis: beyond the Tokyo Guidelines

Variable

Odds ratiob

95% IC

P

Gender (M vs. F)

0.898

0.41–1.97

0.791

ASA scorec

II

1.03

0.99–1.08

0.666

III

1.08

1.04–1.12

0.019

IV

1.21

1.04–1.42

0.001

Tokyo International Guidelines Severity Gradingd (TGSG)

II (moderate)

3.19

0.38–26.78

0.258

III (severe)

10.3

1.36–77.7

0.005

TGSG PAFI < 300

0.39

0.042–3.58

0.390

TGSG Oliguria (diuresis < 0.5 mL/kg/h)

18.19

7.47–44.29

0.001

TGSG marked local inflammation

2.26

0.811–6.29

0.109

TGSG WBC > 18,000/mm3

3.73

1.63–8.52

0.001

TGSG PT-INR > 1.5

3.83

1.6–9

0.001

TGSG renal dysfunction (creatinine> 2 mg)

12.65

5.58–28.65

0.001

TGSG neurological dysfunction

1.65

0.67–4.06

0.269

TGSG cardiovascular dysfunction (amines)

18.94

7.44–48.18

0.001

TGSG Murphy’s sign

0.5

0.23–1.11

0.082

TGSG palpable tender mass in RUAQ

1.4

0.62–3.4

0.399

TGSG tachypnea (> 20 bpm)

9.46

4–22.4

0.001

TGSG duration of complaints > 72 h

2.15

0.96–4.82

0.056

SIRS

10.21

3.45–30.27

0.001

 

Exitusa

N = 26 (3.6)

Survivorsa

N = 699 (96.4)

6. P

Charlson Comorbidity Index

3.50 (5.3)

0 (2)

0.001

Age (years)

83.0 (5.5)

68.0 (27)

0.001

Bilirubin (mg/dL)

1.64 (0.9)

0.86 (1.1)

0.002

Creatinine (gr/dL)

1.7 (2.2)

0.80 (0.4)

0.001

Alkaline phosphatase (UI/L)

142 (152)

93 (72)

0.001

Gamma-glutamyl-transpherase UI/L)

71 (71)

123 (239)

0.317

Glutamil oxaloacetic transaminase (UI/L)

57 (167)

27 (41)

0.005

PT-INR

1.43 (0.3)

1.19 (0.2)

0.001

Lactate (gr/dL)

2.20 (3)

1.5 (1.1)

0.008

Temperature (°C)

37.0 (1.7)

36.3 (1)

0.289

WBC > 1000/mm3

17 (13)

14 (7)

0.016

Partial oxygen pressure (mmHg)

98 (10)

99 (1)

0.010

CRP (gr/dL)

23.7 (22)

14 (26)

0.110

Platelets (1000/mm3)

162 (162)

210 (129)

0.210

Treatment

 

N (%)

OR

95% IC

7. P

Cholecystectomy as first treatment

689 (95)

0.149

0.056–0.399

0.001

Cholecystectomy as last treatment

9 (1.2)

4.181

0.499–35.041

0.242

Laparotomy as initial approach

75 (10)

25.708

9.618–68.71

0.001

Converted laparoscopy

93 (13)

0.678

0.155–2.959

1.000

Additional procedures

164 (23)

3.087

1.28–7.40

0.015

Cholecystostomy as first treatment

9 (1.2)

1.643

0.247–10.95

0.627

Cholecystostomy as rescue treatment

4 (0.5)

1.800

0.154–20.99

0.535

Antibiotics as primary treatment

27 (3.7)

0.609

0.091–4.056

0.627

Post-treatment

 

Exitus

N = 26 (3.6)

Survivors

N = 699 (96.4)

8. P

Reoperation

0 (0)

2 (0.3)

1.000

Postoperative hospital stay (days)

13 (19)

3 (5)

0.001

Postoperative complications

26 (100)

287 (41)

0.001

Postoperative complications

(Clavien-Dindo)

No

 

412 (59)

 

I

 

105 (15)

II

 

88 (12.6)

IIIa

 

45 (6.4)

IIIb

 

17 (2.4)

IVa

 

16 (2.3)

IVb

 

15 (2.1)

Severee

 

48 (7)

  1. PAFI Pa02/Fi02, WBC white cells blood count, PT-INR prothrombin time international normalized ratio, SIRS systemic inflammatory response syndrome ≥ 2 points, RUAQ right upper abdominal quadrant, bpm breaths per minute, CPR C-reactive protein
  2. aN (%) or median (IQR)
  3. b Odds ratio for mortality
  4. cASA score 1 has been used to calculate the odds ratio for the remaining groups; ASA score V is not reported as there was only one patient in this group
  5. dTokyo Guidelines Classification Year 2013 [18] TG I was used to calculate the odds ratio for the remaining groups
  6. e> Clavien-Dindo I